Coritiba host Chapecoense-sc in the Serie A on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira. Coritiba are 12th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Chapecoense-sc sit 20th on 21 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Coritiba's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Cruzeiro 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Cruzeiro 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Coritiba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Coritiba and 0.8 for Chapecoense-sc. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Coritiba 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Coritiba64%fair 1.56 · @1.61
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.75
Chapecoense-sc15%fair 6.84 · @5.40
2.70Expected goals
1.91Coritiba xG
0.78Chapecoense-sc xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Coritiba 1.9 – 0.8 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coritiba to win✓
64%
1.56
1.61
Double chance
Coritiba or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Coritiba ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coritiba / FT Coritiba✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.74
–
Form
Coritiba – last 6
LDLLWW
31 Jul
vs Cruzeiro
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ RB Bragantino
0–0
D
22 Jul
vs Palmeiras
1–3
L
30 May
@ Flamengo
0–3
L
26 May
vs Bahia
3–2
W
17 May
@ Santos
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
LDDLLL
5 Aug
@ Cruzeiro
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Cruzeiro
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Santos
2–2
D
23 Jul
vs Flamengo
0–4
L
17 Jul
@ Bahia
0–2
L
4 Jun
@ Avai
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coritiba and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Coritiba have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Chapecoense-sc 15%.
How many goals will there be in Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Coritiba 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc?
Coritiba vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
