Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win ✓59% · @1.69
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.49
Cruzeiro vs Mirassol preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Cruzeiro take on Mirassol on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Mirassol sit 14th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Chapecoense-sc 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mirassol's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Gremio 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Cruzeiro and 0.8 for Mirassol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 1–0 Mirassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro59%fair 1.68 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.60
Mirassol16%fair 6.33 · @5.00
2.59Expected goals
1.78Cruzeiro xG
0.81Mirassol xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.8 – 0.8 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✓
59%
1.68
1.69
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.90 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.49
–
Form
Cruzeiro – last 6
WDWLWL
5 Aug
vs Chapecoense-sc
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
31 Jul
@ Coritiba
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Botafogo
0–1
L
23 Jul
@ Internacional
2–1
W
12 Jul
@ Gremio
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mirassol – last 6
LDWDWL
5 Aug
@ Gremio
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Gremio
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Remo
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Vasco DA Gama
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Gremio
2–1
W
30 May
@ Atletico Paranaense
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Mirassol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mirassol 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–0 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Mirassol?
Cruzeiro vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
