Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantos to win43% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.43
Santos vs RB Bragantino preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Santos take on RB Bragantino on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira. Santos are 9th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while RB Bragantino sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santos's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Recoleta 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
RB Bragantino's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Blooming 6–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
RB Bragantino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Santos and 1.2 for RB Bragantino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: RB Bragantino to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Santos 1–1 RB Bragantino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santos43%fair 2.32 · @2.24
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
RB Bragantino35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
2.55Expected goals
1.36Santos xG
1.19RB Bragantino xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Santos 1.4 – 1.2 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santos to win
43%
2.32
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santos / FT Santos
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.43
–
Form
Santos – last 6
DDDDWL
6 May
@ Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ San Lorenzo
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Coritiba
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Deportivo Recoleta
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ Deportivo Cuenca
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 6
WLDWLW
8 May
@ Blooming
6–0
W
1 May
vs River Plate
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Blooming
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santos and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Santos vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Santos vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Santos have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and RB Bragantino 35%.
How many goals will there be in Santos vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santos vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Santos 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Santos vs RB Bragantino?
Santos vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Urbano Caldeira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
