Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.51
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Mirassol take on Chapecoense-sc on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT). Mirassol are 14th with 40 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Chapecoense-sc sit 20th on 21 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mirassol's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat LDU de Quito 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Operario-PR 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Mirassol and 0.9 for Chapecoense-sc. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Mirassol 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mirassol64%fair 1.57 · @1.49
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.10
Chapecoense-sc18%fair 5.60 · @6.50
2.80Expected goals
1.92Mirassol xG
0.87Chapecoense-sc xG
49%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Mirassol 1.9 – 0.9 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mirassol to win
64%
1.57
1.49
Double chance
Mirassol or draw
82%
1.22
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Mirassol ahead at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mirassol / FT Mirassol
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
12%
8.51
–
Form
Mirassol – last 6
WWWLDW
7 May
vs LDU de Quito
2–0
W
4 May
vs Corinthians
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs Always Ready
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Sao Paulo
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Internacional
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
WWLDWD
7 May
@ Operario-PR
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs America Mineiro
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Juventude
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Avai
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mirassol and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Mirassol have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Chapecoense-sc 18%.
How many goals will there be in Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Mirassol 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
