Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–012% · fair 8.19
Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama preview and prediction
The match
Vasco DA Gama travel to face Flamengo in the Serie A on Sunday 3 May (20:00 WAT). Flamengo are 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Vasco DA Gama sit 13th on 41 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Vasco DA Gama's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Olimpia 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flamengo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Flamengo and 0.8 for Vasco DA Gama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flamengo 67%, draw 19%, Vasco DA Gama 15%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Vasco DA Gama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
Draw19%fair 5.37 · @4.10
Vasco DA Gama15%fair 6.80 · @5.90
2.81Expected goals
2.01Flamengo xG
0.80Vasco DA Gama xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.0 – 0.8 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win
67%
1.50
1.53
Double chance
Flamengo or draw
85%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.38
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
12%
8.19
–
Form
Flamengo – last 6
DWWWWL
30 Apr
@ Estudiantes L.P.
1–1
D
23 Apr
vs Vitoria
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Bahia
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Independiente Medellin
4–1
W
9 Apr
@ Cusco
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Vasco DA Gama – last 6
WWLDLD
30 Apr
vs Olimpia
3–0
W
22 Apr
@ Paysandu
2–0
W
15 Apr
vs A. Italiano
1–2
L
7 Apr
@ Barracas Central
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Botafogo
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Coritiba
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Vasco DA Gama.
What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Vasco DA Gama 15%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama?
Flamengo vs Vasco DA Gama (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
