Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino prediction & analysis
73%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: RB Bragantino to win @ 2.08 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRB Bragantino to win52% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–112% · fair 8.57
Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino preview and prediction
The match
Chapecoense-sc host RB Bragantino in the Serie A on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Chapecoense-sc are 20th with 21 points from 33 games (in the bottom three), while RB Bragantino sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat America Mineiro 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
RB Bragantino's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to River Plate 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Chapecoense-sc and 1.6 for RB Bragantino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: RB Bragantino to win at 2.08 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Chapecoense-sc 1–1 RB Bragantino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chapecoense-sc26%fair 3.81 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
RB Bragantino52%fair 1.93 · @2.08
2.60Expected goals
1.03Chapecoense-sc xG
1.58RB Bragantino xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Chapecoense-sc 1.0 – 1.6 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RB Bragantino to win
52%
1.93
2.08 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RB Bragantino / FT RB Bragantino
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
12%
8.57
–
Form
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
WLDWDL
29 Apr
vs America Mineiro
2–1
W
21 Apr
@ Botafogo
0–1
L
16 Apr
@ Juventude
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Avai
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 6
LDWLWW
1 May
vs River Plate
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Mirassol
1–1
D
17 Apr
vs Blooming
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Flamengo
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chapecoense-sc and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Chapecoense-sc have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 22% and RB Bragantino 52%.
How many goals will there be in Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Chapecoense-sc 1–1 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino?
Chapecoense-sc vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.