Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitoria to win ✗38% · @2.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Vitoria vs Corinthians preview and prediction
The match
Vitoria host Corinthians in the Serie A on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estádio Manoel Barradas. Vitoria are 15th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Corinthians sit 17th on 37 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitoria's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Piauí 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Corinthians's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Santa Fe 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Vitoria and 1.0 for Corinthians. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–1 Corinthians. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitoria38%fair 2.60 · @2.65
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @2.98
Corinthians36%fair 2.79 · @2.80
2.15Expected goals
1.10Vitoria xG
1.05Corinthians xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
2–07%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.1 – 1.0 Corinthians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitoria to win✗
38%
2.60
2.65
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitoria / FT Vitoria✗
20%
4.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.78
–
Form
Vitoria – last 6
WWDLLL
16 Apr
vs Piauí
3–1
W
8 Apr
vs Juazeirense
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Cruzeiro
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Botafogo PB
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Gremio
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Corinthians – last 6
WWLLDD
16 Apr
vs Santa Fe
2–0
W
10 Apr
@ Platense
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Internacional
0–1
L
2 Apr
@ Fluminense
1–3
L
23 Mar
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
20 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and Corinthians.
What is the prediction for Vitoria vs Corinthians?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Vitoria vs Corinthians?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Corinthians 36%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Corinthians?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Corinthians?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Corinthians, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Corinthians?
Vitoria vs Corinthians (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Manoel Barradas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
