The Serie A sees Cruzeiro take on Gremio on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Governador Magalhães Pinto. Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while Gremio sit 18th on 37 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to U. Catolica 1–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Gremio's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Deportivo Riestra 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Cruzeiro and 0.8 for Gremio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cruzeiro 63%, draw 20%, Gremio 17%.
Safer route: Cruzeiro or draw (83%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.90.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro63%fair 1.59 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
Gremio17%fair 5.97 · @5.20
2.71Expected goals
1.88Cruzeiro xG
0.83Gremio xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.9 – 0.8 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win✓
63%
1.59
1.67
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.02
–
Form
Cruzeiro – last 6
LWWLDL
15 Apr
vs U. Catolica
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Vitoria
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–3
D
12 Mar
@ Flamengo
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gremio – last 6
WDLDLW
14 Apr
vs Deportivo Riestra
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Internacional
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Remo
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Vitoria
2–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and Gremio.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gremio 17%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 2–0 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs Gremio?
Cruzeiro vs Gremio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Governador Magalhães Pinto.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
