Bahia travel to Estádio do Maracanã in the Serie A on Sunday 19 April (23:30 WAT) to face Flamengo. Flamengo are 1st with 76 points from 34 games (top of the table), while Bahia sit 6th on 53 points (in the top half). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Flamengo's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Independiente Medellin 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bahia's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Flamengo and 0.7 for Bahia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Flamengo 67%, draw 21%, Bahia 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Flamengo 2–0 Bahia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamengo67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.00
Bahia12%fair 8.09 · @6.40
2.68Expected goals
1.97Flamengo xG
0.71Bahia xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Flamengo 2.0 – 0.7 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamengo to win✓
67%
1.49
1.50
Double chance
Flamengo or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Half-time result
Flamengo ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamengo / FT Flamengo✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Form
Flamengo – last 6
WWLDWW
17 Apr
vs Independiente Medellin
4–1
W
9 Apr
@ Cusco
2–0
W
3 Apr
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
23 Mar
@ Corinthians
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs remo
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Botafogo
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bahia – last 6
LWWWDW
5 Apr
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs RB Bragantino
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Internacional
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
4–2
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamengo and Bahia.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Flamengo vs Bahia?
On our numbers Flamengo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bahia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Flamengo vs Bahia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is Flamengo 2–0 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Flamengo vs Bahia?
Flamengo vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
