Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Internacional to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceInternacional or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Internacional vs Gremio preview and prediction
The match
The Serie A sees Internacional take on Gremio on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estádio Beira-Rio. Internacional are 16th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Gremio sit 18th on 37 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Internacional's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Corinthians 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gremio's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Atletico Torque 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Internacional and 0.7 for Gremio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Internacional 63%, draw 24%, Gremio 13%.
Safer route: Internacional or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Internacional to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Internacional or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Internacional 1–0 Gremio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Internacional63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.50
Gremio13%fair 7.79 · @3.90
2.50Expected goals
1.81Internacional xG
0.69Gremio xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.8 – 0.7 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✗
63%
1.58
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Internacional or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Internacional ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional / FT Internacional✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
Internacional – last 6
WDWLLD
5 Apr
@ Corinthians
1–0
W
1 Apr
vs Sao Paulo
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Santos
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Bahia
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ remo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gremio – last 6
LDLWDD
9 Apr
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
6 Apr
vs Remo
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
19 Mar
vs Vitoria
2–0
W
17 Mar
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs RB Bragantino
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional and Gremio.
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Gremio?
Our pick is Internacional or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Internacional vs Gremio?
On our numbers Internacional have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gremio 13%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Gremio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Gremio?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Gremio?
Internacional vs Gremio (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Beira-Rio.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
