Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cruzeiro to win @ 1.87 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCruzeiro to win60% · @1.87
Double chanceCruzeiro or draw86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.36
Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino preview and prediction
The match
RB Bragantino travel to face Cruzeiro in the Serie A on Sunday 12 April (22:30 WAT). Cruzeiro are 3rd with 60 points from 34 games (in the top four), while RB Bragantino sit 8th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Barcelona SC 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
RB Bragantino's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Carabobo FC 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Cruzeiro and 0.8 for RB Bragantino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Cruzeiro to win at 1.87 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cruzeiro or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cruzeiro 1–0 RB Bragantino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cruzeiro60%fair 1.67 · @1.87
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.45
RB Bragantino14%fair 7.02 · @4.10
2.58Expected goals
1.80Cruzeiro xG
0.78RB Bragantino xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Cruzeiro 1.8 – 0.8 RB Bragantino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cruzeiro to win
60%
1.67
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Cruzeiro or draw
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Cruzeiro ahead at half-time
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cruzeiro / FT Cruzeiro
39%
2.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.36
–
Form
Cruzeiro – last 6
WWLDLD
8 Apr
@ Barcelona SC
1–0
W
2 Apr
vs Vitoria
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Vasco DA Gama
3–3
D
12 Mar
@ Flamengo
0–2
L
26 Feb
vs Corinthians
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
RB Bragantino – last 6
LWWLLD
10 Apr
@ Carabobo FC
0–1
L
6 Apr
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
3 Apr
vs Flamengo
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Bahia
0–2
L
16 Mar
vs Sao Paulo
1–2
L
13 Mar
@ Gremio
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cruzeiro and RB Bragantino.
What is the prediction for Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino?
Our pick is Cruzeiro or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino?
On our numbers Cruzeiro have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and RB Bragantino 14%.
How many goals will there be in Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino?
Our predicted score is Cruzeiro 1–0 RB Bragantino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino?
Cruzeiro vs RB Bragantino (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
