Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Botafogo to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo to win64% · @1.80
Double chanceBotafogo or draw83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.94
Botafogo vs Coritiba preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo host Coritiba in the Serie A on Sunday 12 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos. Botafogo are 11th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Coritiba sit 12th on 42 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Botafogo's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Caracas FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Coritiba's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Fluminense 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Botafogo and 0.8 for Coritiba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Botafogo to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Botafogo or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Botafogo 1–0 Coritiba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.45
Coritiba17%fair 5.98 · @4.40
2.71Expected goals
1.89Botafogo xG
0.82Coritiba xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.9 – 0.8 Coritiba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Botafogo or draw
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Botafogo ahead at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
13%
7.94
–
Form
Botafogo – last 6
DWWLLL
9 Apr
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Mirassol
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
18 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Flamengo
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Coritiba – last 5
DDWWL
5 Apr
vs Fluminense
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Mirassol
1–0
W
12 Mar
@ Corinthians
2–0
W
25 Feb
vs Sao Paulo
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Coritiba.
Our pick is Botafogo or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo vs Coritiba?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Coritiba 17%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Coritiba?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Coritiba?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–0 Coritiba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Coritiba?
Botafogo vs Coritiba (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
