Mirassol travel to Barradao in the Serie A on Sunday 22 March (22:30 WAT) to face Vitoria. Vitoria are 15th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while Mirassol sit 14th on 40 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitoria's last 4: LDWW Most recently they lost to Gremio 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mirassol's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Coritiba 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Vitoria arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Vitoria and 1.2 for Mirassol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitoria 40%, draw 25%, Mirassol 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Vitoria 1–1 Mirassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitoria40%fair 2.50 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Mirassol35%fair 2.82 · @2.75
2.59Expected goals
1.34Vitoria xG
1.25Mirassol xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.3 – 1.2 Mirassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitoria to win
40%
2.50
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitoria / FT Vitoria
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.95
–
Form
Vitoria – last 4
LDWW
19 Mar
@ Gremio
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bahia
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Galícia
3–0
W
18 Feb
vs Bahia de Feira
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Mirassol – last 3
LDL
19 Mar
vs Coritiba
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Santos
2–2
D
16 Feb
vs Portuguesa
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and Mirassol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Vitoria vs Mirassol?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Mirassol 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Mirassol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Mirassol?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Mirassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Mirassol?
Vitoria vs Mirassol (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
