Value bet: Bahia to win @ 2.04 – our chance 55% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBahia to win55% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.93
remo vs Bahia preview and prediction
The match
remo host Bahia in the Serie A on Sunday 22 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Evandro Almeida. remo are 19th with 29 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Bahia sit 6th on 53 points (in the top half). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
remo's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Flamengo 0–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Bahia's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat RB Bragantino 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bahia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for remo and 1.6 for Bahia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: remo 23%, draw 22%, Bahia 55%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Bahia to win at 2.04 – 55% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: remo 0–1 Bahia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
remo23%fair 4.37 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Bahia55%fair 1.81 · @2.04
2.56Expected goals
0.93remo xG
1.63Bahia xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–08%
1–07%
From our goals model: remo 0.9 – 1.6 Bahia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahia to win
55%
1.81
2.04 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bahia / FT Bahia
33%
3.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.93
–
Form
remo – last 5
LLDWD
20 Mar
@ Flamengo
0–3
L
12 Mar
vs Fluminense
0–2
L
25 Feb
vs Internacional
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Cametá
3–2
W
15 Feb
vs Amazônia PA
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Bahia – last 5
WWDWL
18 Mar
vs RB Bragantino
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Internacional
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atlético Alagoinhas
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
1.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between remo and Bahia.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win remo vs Bahia?
On our numbers remo have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bahia 55%.
How many goals will there be in remo vs Bahia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for remo vs Bahia?
Our predicted score is remo 0–1 Bahia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is remo vs Bahia?
remo vs Bahia (Serie A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Evandro Almeida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
