San Diego vs Los Angeles FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees San Diego take on Los Angeles FC on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT) at Snapdragon Stadium. San Diego are 13th with 38 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while Los Angeles FC sit 6th on 47 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Diego's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Portland Timbers 1–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Los Angeles FC's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Toluca 2–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Los Angeles FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for San Diego and 1.6 for Los Angeles FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Diego 36%, draw 22%, Los Angeles FC 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: San Diego 1–1 Los Angeles FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Diego36%fair 2.77 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.65
Los Angeles FC42%fair 2.40 · @2.52
3.00Expected goals
1.44San Diego xG
1.56Los Angeles FC xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: San Diego 1.4 – 1.6 Los Angeles FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Los Angeles FC to win
42%
2.40
2.52
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Los Angeles FC / FT Los Angeles FC
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.45
–
Form
San Diego – last 6
LLLLLD
26 Apr
vs Portland Timbers
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Houston Dynamo
0–1
L
19 Apr
@ Real Salt Lake
2–4
L
12 Apr
vs Minnesota United FC
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ San Jose Earthquakes
0–3
L
23 Mar
vs Real Salt Lake
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Los Angeles FC – last 6
WDLDWW
30 Apr
vs Toluca
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs Colorado Rapids
0–0
D
20 Apr
vs San Jose Earthquakes
1–4
L
15 Apr
@ Cruz Azul
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Cruz Azul
3–0
W
5 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
6–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Diego and Los Angeles FC.
What is the prediction for San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
On our numbers San Diego have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Los Angeles FC 42%.
How many goals will there be in San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
Our predicted score is San Diego 1–1 Los Angeles FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is San Diego vs Los Angeles FC?
San Diego vs Los Angeles FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Snapdragon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.