Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Columbus Crew or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Columbus Crew to win @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultColumbus Crew to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceColumbus Crew or draw ✗88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC preview and prediction
The match
The Major League Soccer sees Columbus Crew take on Minnesota United FC on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Lower.com Field. Columbus Crew are 7th with 47 points from 34 games (in the top half), while Minnesota United FC sit 10th on 44 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Columbus Crew's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat One Knoxville 4–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Minnesota United FC's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to San Jose Earthquakes 2–4 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Columbus Crew and 0.8 for Minnesota United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Columbus Crew 64%, draw 24%, Minnesota United FC 12%.
Safer route: Columbus Crew or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Columbus Crew to win at 1.73 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Columbus Crew or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Columbus Crew 2–0 Minnesota United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Columbus Crew64%fair 1.56 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.85
Minnesota United FC12%fair 8.38 · @4.33
2.79Expected goals
2.00Columbus Crew xG
0.79Minnesota United FC xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Columbus Crew 2.0 – 0.8 Minnesota United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Columbus Crew to win✗
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Columbus Crew or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.48
Half-time result
Columbus Crew ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Columbus Crew / FT Columbus Crew✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Columbus Crew – last 6
WWWLWD
30 Apr
vs One Knoxville
4–1
W
26 Apr
vs Philadelphia Union
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ New England Revolution
1–2
L
16 Apr
@ Richmond Kickers
3–0
W
13 Apr
vs Orlando City SC
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Minnesota United FC – last 6
LWWWWL
29 Apr
@ San Jose Earthquakes
2–4
L
23 Apr
@ FC Dallas
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Portland Timbers
2–0
W
12 Apr
@ San Diego
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Los Angeles Galaxy
2–1
W
8 Mar
@ Nashville SC
1–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Columbus Crew and Minnesota United FC.
What is the prediction for Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?
Our pick is Columbus Crew or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?
On our numbers Columbus Crew have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Minnesota United FC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?
Our predicted score is Columbus Crew 2–0 Minnesota United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC?
Columbus Crew vs Minnesota United FC (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Lower.com Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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