New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: FC Dallas to win @ 3.25 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNew York Red Bulls to win ✗45% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas preview and prediction
The match
New York Red Bulls host FC Dallas in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Sports Illustrated Stadium. New York Red Bulls are 10th with 42 points from 34 games (in the bottom half), while FC Dallas sit 2nd on 58 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
New York Red Bulls's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to New York City FC 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
FC Dallas's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Seattle Sounders 1–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.9 for New York Red Bulls and 1.6 for FC Dallas. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: New York Red Bulls 45%, draw 19%, FC Dallas 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.42.
Value angle: FC Dallas to win at 3.25 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Dallas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New York Red Bulls45%fair 2.23 · @2.02
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.75
FC Dallas36%fair 2.80 · @3.25
3.49Expected goals
1.86New York Red Bulls xG
1.63FC Dallas xG
67%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: New York Red Bulls 1.9 – 1.6 FC Dallas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
New York Red Bulls to win✗
45%
2.23
2.02
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.65
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT New York Red Bulls / FT New York Red Bulls✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Form
New York Red Bulls – last 6
LLDWDW
30 Apr
vs New York City FC
1–3
L
26 Apr
@ FC Cincinnati
0–2
L
23 Apr
vs DC United
4–4
D
16 Apr
vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Inter Miami
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs FC Cincinnati
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Dallas – last 6
LLDDWW
26 Apr
@ Seattle Sounders
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Minnesota United FC
0–1
L
19 Apr
vs Los Angeles Galaxy
2–2
D
12 Apr
vs St. Louis City
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ DC United
4–0
W
22 Mar
vs Houston Dynamo
4–3
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New York Red Bulls and FC Dallas.
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
On our numbers New York Red Bulls have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 19% and FC Dallas 36%.
How many goals will there be in New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
Our predicted score is New York Red Bulls 1–1 FC Dallas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?
New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Inter Miami3
Orlando City SC4
Philadelphia Union0
Nashville SC0
Columbus Crew2
Atlanta United FC3
CF Montreal1
New England Revolution1
Charlotte0
Chicago Fire2
FC Cincinnati3