Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultChicago Fire to win ✗60% · @1.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati preview and prediction
The match
FC Cincinnati travel to Soldier Field in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 3 May (01:30 WAT) to face Chicago Fire. Chicago Fire are 4th with 55 points from 34 games (in the top four), while FC Cincinnati sit 9th on 46 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Chicago Fire's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to St. Louis City 1–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Cincinnati's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat New York Red Bulls 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Chicago Fire arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Chicago Fire and 1.3 for FC Cincinnati. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chicago Fire 60%, draw 18%, FC Cincinnati 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Chicago Fire 2–1 FC Cincinnati. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chicago Fire60%fair 1.67 · @1.66
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.10
FC Cincinnati22%fair 4.48 · @4.40
3.44Expected goals
2.19Chicago Fire xG
1.25FC Cincinnati xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.2 – 1.3 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Cincinnati 22%.
How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?
Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.