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Major League Soccer · USA · Soldier Field
2–3
FT

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.45Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultChicago Fire to win ✗60% · @1.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati preview and prediction

The match

FC Cincinnati travel to Soldier Field in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 3 May (01:30 WAT) to face Chicago Fire. Chicago Fire are 4th with 55 points from 34 games (in the top four), while FC Cincinnati sit 9th on 46 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

Chicago Fire's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to St. Louis City 1–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

FC Cincinnati's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat New York Red Bulls 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.

Chicago Fire arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Chicago Fire and 1.3 for FC Cincinnati. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Chicago Fire 2–1 FC Cincinnati. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Chicago Fire60%fair 1.67 · @1.66
Draw18%fair 5.58 · @4.10
FC Cincinnati22%fair 4.48 · @4.40
3.44Expected goals
2.19Chicago Fire xG
1.25FC Cincinnati xG
63%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Chicago Fire 2.2 – 1.3 FC Cincinnati expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChicago Fire to win ✗60%1.671.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.45
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.521.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗55%1.811.70
Half-time resultChicago Fire ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chicago Fire / FT Chicago Fire ✗38%2.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.41–

Form

Chicago Fire – last 6

LWDWWW
30 Aprvs St. Louis City1–2L
26 Aprvs Sporting Kansas City5–0W
19 Apr@ FC Cincinnati3–3D
15 Apr@ Detroit City2–1W
12 Aprvs Atlanta United FC1–0W
5 Aprvs Nashville SC1–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FC Cincinnati – last 6

WDDLLL
26 Aprvs New York Red Bulls2–0W
23 Apr@ New York City FC4–4D
19 Aprvs Chicago Fire3–3D
5 Apr@ New York Red Bulls2–4L
20 Mar@ Tigres UANL1–5L
15 Mar@ New England Revolution1–6L
2.2Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire3–3
Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head page →

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC342383+4677
2Inter Miami3416126+2160
3New England Revolution3418412+858
4Chicago Fire3416711+1055
5Charlotte3415910+1554
6Philadelphia Union3414812+1450
7Columbus Crew3414515+747
8Orlando City SC3413714-1546
9FC Cincinnati34121012-846
10New York Red Bulls3412616-1442
11New York City FC34101212+442
12Toronto FC3491213-1539
13Atlanta United FC349619-1733
14DC United3471215-2233
15CF Montreal346820-3226

More Major League Soccer predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

On our numbers Chicago Fire have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and FC Cincinnati 22%.

How many goals will there be in Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

Our predicted score is Chicago Fire 2–1 FC Cincinnati, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati?

Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Soldier Field.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.