Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: CF Montreal to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta United FC to win ✓42% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal preview and prediction
The match
CF Montreal travel to Mercedes-Benz Stadium in the Major League Soccer on Sunday 3 May (00:30 WAT) to face Atlanta United FC. Atlanta United FC are 13th with 33 points from 34 games (in the bottom three), while CF Montreal sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Atlanta United FC's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Charlotte 2–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Atlanta United FC and 1.4 for CF Montreal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta United FC 42%, draw 22%, CF Montreal 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Value angle: CF Montreal to win at 3.50 – 35% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Atlanta United FC 1–1 CF Montreal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta United FC42%fair 2.36 · @1.97
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.60
CF Montreal35%fair 2.84 · @3.50
3.00Expected goals
1.58Atlanta United FC xG
1.42CF Montreal xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Atlanta United FC 1.6 – 1.4 CF Montreal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlanta United FC to win✓
42%
2.36
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.53
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlanta United FC / FT Atlanta United FC✓
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
Atlanta United FC – last 6
WLLWLL
29 Apr
@ Charlotte
2–0
W
23 Apr
vs New England Revolution
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
16 Apr
@ Chattanooga
3–1
W
12 Apr
@ Chicago Fire
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Columbus Crew
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CF Montreal – last 2
LL
15 Mar
@ Orlando City SC
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ San Diego
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlanta United FC and CF Montreal.
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
On our numbers Atlanta United FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CF Montreal 35%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
Our predicted score is Atlanta United FC 1–1 CF Montreal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal?
Atlanta United FC vs CF Montreal (Major League Soccer) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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