Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Croatia to win @ 1.75 – our chance 64% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCroatia to win ✓64% · @1.75
Double chanceCroatia or draw ✓90% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.35
Croatia vs Ghana preview and prediction
The match
Ghana travel to Lincoln Financial Field in the World Cup on Saturday 27 June (22:00 WAT) to face Croatia.
Form guide
Croatia's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Panama 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Ghana's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with England 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Croatia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Croatia and 0.5 for Ghana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Croatia 64%, draw 26%, Ghana 10%.
Safer route: Croatia or draw (90%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Croatia to win at 1.75 – 64% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Croatia 1–0 Ghana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Croatia64%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.35
Ghana10%fair 9.80 · @5.00
2.18Expected goals
1.65Croatia xG
0.53Ghana xG
48%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Croatia 1.6 – 0.5 Ghana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Croatia to win✓
64%
1.57
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Croatia or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.17 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Croatia / FT Croatia✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.35
–
Form
Croatia – last 6
WLWLLW
24 Jun
@ Panama
1–0
W
17 Jun
@ England
2–4
L
7 Jun
vs Slovenia
2–1
W
2 Jun
vs Belgium
0–2
L
1 Apr
@ Brazil
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Colombia
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ghana – last 6
DWDLLL
23 Jun
@ England
0–0
D
18 Jun
vs Panama
1–0
W
2 Jun
@ Wales
1–1
D
23 May
@ Mexico
0–2
L
30 Mar
@ Germany
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Austria
1–5
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Croatia and Ghana.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Croatia vs Ghana?
On our numbers Croatia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ghana 10%.
How many goals will there be in Croatia vs Ghana?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Croatia vs Ghana?
Our predicted score is Croatia 1–0 Ghana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Croatia vs Ghana?
Croatia vs Ghana (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Lincoln Financial Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cape Verde Islands0
Saudi Arabia0
Uruguay0
Spain1
Egypt1
Iran1
New Zealand1
Belgium5
Panama0
England2