Value bet: Cape Verde Islands to win @ 2.60 – our chance 45% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCape Verde Islands to win ✗45% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.72
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia preview and prediction
The match
Saudi Arabia travel to NRG Stadium in the World Cup on Saturday 27 June (01:00 WAT) to face Cape Verde Islands.
Form guide
Cape Verde Islands's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Uruguay 2–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saudi Arabia's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Spain 0–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cape Verde Islands arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Cape Verde Islands and 1.1 for Saudi Arabia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Cape Verde Islands to win at 2.60 – 45% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cape Verde Islands 1–1 Saudi Arabia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cape Verde Islands45%fair 2.21 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.25
Saudi Arabia33%fair 3.06 · @2.64
2.48Expected goals
1.37Cape Verde Islands xG
1.11Saudi Arabia xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cape Verde Islands 1.4 – 1.1 Saudi Arabia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cape Verde Islands to win✗
45%
2.21
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cape Verde Islands / FT Cape Verde Islands✗
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.72
–
Form
Cape Verde Islands – last 5
DDWWL
21 Jun
@ Uruguay
2–2
D
15 Jun
@ Spain
0–0
D
6 Jun
vs Bermuda
3–0
W
31 May
vs Serbia
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Chile
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Saudi Arabia – last 6
LDDWLL
21 Jun
@ Spain
0–4
L
15 Jun
vs Uruguay
1–1
D
10 Jun
vs Senegal
0–0
D
6 Jun
@ Puerto Rico
3–0
W
31 May
@ Ecuador
1–2
L
31 Mar
@ Serbia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cape Verde Islands and Saudi Arabia.
What is the prediction for Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia?
On our numbers Cape Verde Islands have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Saudi Arabia 33%.
How many goals will there be in Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia?
Our predicted score is Cape Verde Islands 1–1 Saudi Arabia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia?
Cape Verde Islands vs Saudi Arabia (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at NRG Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Uruguay0
Spain1
Egypt1
Iran1
New Zealand1
Belgium5
Croatia2
Ghana1
Panama0
England2