Egypt vs Iran prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Egypt 1.3 – 1.0 Iran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Egypt hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 28% for Iran, and a draw (27%) is a real possibility.
Egypt have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Iran have 8 points from their last 5 (2W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Egypt, 1.0 for Iran). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 55%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.57 is close to our fair price of 1.58. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Egypt to win ✗ | 44% | 2.26 | 2.44 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.45 ▲ |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.14 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Egypt / FT Egypt ✗ | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.49 | – |
Form
Egypt – last 6
| 22 Jun | @ New Zealand | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jun | @ Belgium | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | @ Brazil | 1–2 | L |
| 28 May | vs Russia | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Spain | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | @ Saudi Arabia | 4–0 | W |
Iran – last 5
| 21 Jun | @ Belgium | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Jun | vs New Zealand | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | vs Gambia | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Mar | @ Costa Rica | 5–0 | W |
| 27 Mar | vs Nigeria | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Egypt and Iran.
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What is the prediction for Egypt vs Iran?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Egypt vs Iran?
On our numbers Egypt have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Iran 28%.
How many goals will there be in Egypt vs Iran?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Egypt vs Iran?
Egypt vs Iran (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Lumen Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.