Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEngland to win ✓70% · @1.18
Double chanceEngland or draw ✓86% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Panama vs England preview and prediction
The match
The World Cup sees Panama take on England on Saturday 27 June, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at MetLife Stadium.
Form guide
Panama's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Croatia 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
England's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Ghana 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
England arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.7 for Panama and 2.0 for England. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Panama 14%, draw 16%, England 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 53% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Panama 0–1 England. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Panama14%fair 7.02 · @11.50
Draw16%fair 6.27 · @7.40
England70%fair 1.43 · @1.18
2.68Expected goals
0.70Panama xG
1.98England xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–214%
1–19%
1–29%
0–39%
0–07%
From our goals model: Panama 0.7 – 2.0 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
England to win✓
70%
1.43
1.18
Double chance
England or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Half-time result
England ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT England / FT England✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
Panama – last 6
LLDWLW
24 Jun
vs Croatia
0–1
L
18 Jun
@ Ghana
0–1
L
6 Jun
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
1–1
D
4 Jun
vs Dominican Republic
4–2
W
31 May
@ Brazil
2–6
L
31 Mar
@ South Africa
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
England – last 6
DWWWLD
23 Jun
vs Ghana
0–0
D
17 Jun
vs Croatia
4–2
W
10 Jun
vs Costa Rica
3–0
W
6 Jun
vs New Zealand
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Japan
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs Uruguay
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Panama and England.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Panama vs England?
On our numbers Panama have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 16% and England 70%.
How many goals will there be in Panama vs England?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Panama vs England?
Our predicted score is Panama 0–1 England, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Panama vs England?
Panama vs England (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at MetLife Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.