Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
U3.5
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBelgium to win ✓73% · @1.19
Double chanceBelgium or draw ✓93% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.08
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗13% · fair 7.87
New Zealand vs Belgium preview and prediction
The match
New Zealand host Belgium in the World Cup on Saturday 27 June, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at BC Place.
Form guide
New Zealand's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Egypt 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Belgium's last 5: DDWWD Most recently they drew with Iran 0–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Belgium arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 0.7 for New Zealand and 2.4 for Belgium. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: New Zealand 7%, draw 20%, Belgium 73%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: New Zealand 0–3 Belgium. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
New Zealand7%fair 13.46 · @11.50
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @7.00
Belgium73%fair 1.38 · @1.19
3.12Expected goals
0.72New Zealand xG
2.40Belgium xG
52%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–213%
0–111%
0–310%
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
From our goals model: New Zealand 0.7 – 2.4 Belgium expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Belgium to win✓
73%
1.38
1.19
Double chance
Belgium or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
2.00 ▲
Half-time result
Belgium ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Belgium / FT Belgium✓
50%
1.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–2✗
13%
7.87
–
Form
New Zealand – last 6
LDLLWL
22 Jun
vs Egypt
1–3
L
16 Jun
@ Iran
2–2
D
6 Jun
@ England
0–1
L
3 Jun
@ Haiti
0–4
L
30 Mar
vs Chile
4–1
W
27 Mar
vs Finland
0–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Belgium – last 5
DDWWD
21 Jun
vs Iran
0–0
D
15 Jun
vs Egypt
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Tunisia
5–0
W
2 Jun
@ Croatia
2–0
W
1 Apr
@ Mexico
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between New Zealand and Belgium.
What is the prediction for New Zealand vs Belgium?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win New Zealand vs Belgium?
On our numbers New Zealand have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Belgium 73%.
How many goals will there be in New Zealand vs Belgium?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for New Zealand vs Belgium?
Our predicted score is New Zealand 0–3 Belgium, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is New Zealand vs Belgium?
New Zealand vs Belgium (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at BC Place.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cape Verde Islands0
Saudi Arabia0
Uruguay0
Spain1
Egypt1
Iran1
Croatia2
Ghana1
Panama0
England2