Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.61 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.61Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFrosinone to win ✓68% · @1.61
Double chanceFrosinone or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.37
Frosinone vs Mantova preview and prediction
The match
The Serie B sees Frosinone take on Mantova on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Form guide
Frosinone's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Juve Stabia 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mantova's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Monza 3–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Frosinone arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Frosinone and 0.8 for Mantova. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Frosinone to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.61, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Frosinone 2–0 Mantova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Frosinone68%fair 1.47 · @1.61
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @4.20
Mantova12%fair 8.42 · @4.70
2.99Expected goals
2.18Frosinone xG
0.81Mantova xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Frosinone 2.2 – 0.8 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Frosinone to win✓
68%
1.47
1.61 ▲
Double chance
Frosinone or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Half-time result
Frosinone ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.37
–
Form
Frosinone – last 6
WDWWWW
1 May
@ Juve Stabia
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Palermo
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Padova
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Sudtirol
3–1
W
18 Mar
vs Bari
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Sampdoria
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mantova – last 6
WWWWLD
1 May
vs Monza
3–2
W
6 Apr
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
17 Mar
vs Cesena
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–0
W
4 Mar
@ Palermo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frosinone and Mantova.
Our pick is Frosinone to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Frosinone vs Mantova?
On our numbers Frosinone have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mantova 12%.
How many goals will there be in Frosinone vs Mantova?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frosinone vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Frosinone 2–0 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Frosinone vs Mantova?
Frosinone vs Mantova (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Benito Stirpe.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara1
Spezia1
Venezia2
Reggiana1
Monza2