Value bet: Venezia to win @ 1.66 – our chance 68% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVenezia to win ✓68% · @1.66
Double chanceVenezia or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓13% · fair 7.97
Venezia vs Palermo preview and prediction
The match
Palermo travel to Stadio Pierluigi Penzo in the Serie B on Friday 8 May (19:30 WAT) to face Venezia.
Form guide
Venezia's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Spezia 2–2 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Palermo's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Catanzaro 3–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Venezia and 0.8 for Palermo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Venezia 68%, draw 19%, Palermo 13%.
Safer route: Venezia or draw (87%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Venezia to win at 1.66 – 68% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Venezia 2–0 Palermo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Venezia68%fair 1.47 · @1.66
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @4.00
Palermo13%fair 7.52 · @4.60
2.83Expected goals
2.06Venezia xG
0.77Palermo xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Venezia 2.1 – 0.8 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venezia to win✓
68%
1.47
1.66 ▲
Double chance
Venezia or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Venezia ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venezia / FT Venezia✗
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
13%
7.97
–
Form
Venezia – last 5
DWWWW
1 May
@ Spezia
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Juve Stabia
3–1
W
17 Mar
vs Padova
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Avellino
4–0
W
21 Feb
vs Pescara
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 6
WDWDWW
1 May
vs Catanzaro
3–2
W
10 Apr
@ Frosinone
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Avellino
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Juve Stabia
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Carrarese
1–0
W
4 Mar
vs Mantova
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Palermo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Venezia vs Palermo?
On our numbers Venezia have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Palermo 13%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Venezia 2–0 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Venezia vs Palermo?
Venezia vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara1
Spezia1
Reggiana1
Monza2
Frosinone5