Empoli travel to Brianteo in the Serie B on Friday 8 May (19:30 WAT) to face Monza.
Form guide
Monza's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Mantova 2–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Empoli's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Avellino 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Monza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Monza and 0.9 for Empoli. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monza 60%, draw 21%, Empoli 18%.
Safer route: Monza or draw (82%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Monza 2–0 Empoli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monza60%fair 1.65 · @1.66
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.95
Empoli18%fair 5.50 · @4.65
2.70Expected goals
1.83Monza xG
0.87Empoli xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Monza 1.8 – 0.9 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monza to win✗
60%
1.65
1.66
Double chance
Monza or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
Monza ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monza / FT Monza✗
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Monza – last 6
LWWDDW
1 May
@ Mantova
2–3
L
24 Apr
vs Modena
1–0
W
17 Apr
@ Sampdoria
3–0
W
6 Apr
@ Catanzaro
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Reggiana
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Cesena
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
WLWDLL
1 May
vs Avellino
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Sampdoria
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Pescara
4–2
W
17 Mar
@ Spezia
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Catanzaro
2–3
L
4 Mar
@ Bari
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monza and Empoli.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Monza vs Empoli?
On our numbers Monza have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Empoli 18%.
How many goals will there be in Monza vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monza vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Monza 2–0 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Monza vs Empoli?
Monza vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Brianteo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Pescara1
Spezia1
Venezia2
Reggiana1
Frosinone5