Virtus Entella vs Carrarese preview and prediction
The match
Virtus Entella host Carrarese in the Serie B on Friday 8 May, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Stadio Enrico Sannazzari. Virtus Entella are 16th with 10 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Carrarese sit 17th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Virtus Entella's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Bari 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Carrarese's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Cesena 0–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Carrarese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Virtus Entella and 0.7 for Carrarese. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Virtus Entella or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Virtus Entella to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.57, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Virtus Entella 2–0 Carrarese. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Entella69%fair 1.46 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.10
Carrarese12%fair 8.57 · @5.30
2.70Expected goals
2.01Virtus Entella xG
0.69Carrarese xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Virtus Entella 2.0 – 0.7 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Entella to win✓
69%
1.46
1.57 ▲
Double chance
Virtus Entella or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.48
Half-time result
Virtus Entella ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Entella / FT Virtus Entella✓
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
14%
7.35
–
Form
Virtus Entella – last 6
LLLLWL
1 May
@ Bari
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Mantova
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Pescara
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Avellino
1–2
L
3 Mar
vs Modena
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Monza
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Carrarese – last 6
DDWWWL
1 May
vs Cesena
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs Pescara
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Spezia
3–1
W
22 Mar
@ Bari
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Palermo
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Entella and Carrarese.
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
Our pick is Virtus Entella to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Virtus Entella have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Carrarese 12%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Virtus Entella 2–0 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
Virtus Entella vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Enrico Sannazzari.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.