Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitesse to win ✓62% · @1.60
Double chanceVitesse or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Vitesse vs Jong Ajax preview and prediction
The match
Jong Ajax travel to GelreDome in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 6 April (15:45 WAT) to face Vitesse. Vitesse are 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Jong Ajax sit 18th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitesse's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Emmen 3–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jong Ajax's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to ADO Den Haag 2–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Vitesse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Vitesse and 1.1 for Jong Ajax. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitesse 62%, draw 21%, Jong Ajax 17%.
Safer route: Vitesse or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Vitesse 2–1 Jong Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitesse62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.33
Jong Ajax17%fair 5.76 · @4.80
3.27Expected goals
2.19Vitesse xG
1.08Jong Ajax xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Vitesse 2.2 – 1.1 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitesse to win✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Double chance
Vitesse or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
1.13
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Half-time result
Vitesse ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse✓
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.16
–
Form
Vitesse – last 6
DWWLWW
3 Apr
vs Emmen
3–3
D
20 Mar
@ Jong PSV U21
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Roda
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Almere City FC
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Jong AZ
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jong Ajax – last 6
LLWWLW
3 Apr
@ ADO Den Haag
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs Almere City FC
0–2
L
17 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
6 Mar
@ FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
5–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Jong Ajax.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jong Ajax 17%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 2–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Jong Ajax?
Vitesse vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Willem II1
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag4