Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cambuur to win @ 1.70 – our chance 65% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCambuur to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceCambuur or draw ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Cambuur vs Dordrecht preview and prediction
The match
Cambuur host Dordrecht in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:45 (WAT) at Kooi Stadion.
Form guide
Cambuur's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to VVV Venlo 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dordrecht's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Roda 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cambuur arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Cambuur and 0.9 for Dordrecht. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Cambuur to win at 1.70 – 65% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cambuur or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cambuur 2–0 Dordrecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cambuur65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.00
Dordrecht13%fair 7.85 · @4.20
3.13Expected goals
2.21Cambuur xG
0.92Dordrecht xG
62%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Cambuur 2.2 – 0.9 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cambuur to win✗
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Cambuur or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Half-time result
Cambuur ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cambuur / FT Cambuur✗
44%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Cambuur – last 6
LWWDWW
3 Apr
@ VVV Venlo
0–3
L
24 Mar
@ Emmen
4–2
W
16 Mar
@ Helmond Sport
1–0
W
13 Mar
vs Roda
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Jong Utrecht
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Almere City FC
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 6
LLDDDL
3 Apr
vs Roda
0–3
L
20 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs FC OSS
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cambuur and Dordrecht.
Our pick is Cambuur or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cambuur vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Cambuur have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dordrecht 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cambuur vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cambuur vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Cambuur 2–0 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Cambuur vs Dordrecht?
Cambuur vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Kooi Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Willem II1
ADO Den Haag4