Emmen host MVV in the Eerste Divisie on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:45 (WAT) at De Oude Meerdijk. Emmen are 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while MVV sit 8th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emmen's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Vitesse 3–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.5 conceded.
MVV's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Waalwijk 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Emmen and 1.0 for MVV. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 68% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emmen 69%, draw 19%, MVV 12%.
Safer route: Emmen or draw (88%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Emmen to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Emmen 2–0 MVV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emmen69%fair 1.45 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @4.60
MVV12%fair 8.08 · @5.20
3.43Expected goals
2.45Emmen xG
0.98MVV xG
61%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Emmen 2.4 – 1.0 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emmen to win✓
69%
1.45
1.50
Double chance
Emmen or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Half-time result
Emmen ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emmen / FT Emmen✗
47%
2.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.49
–
Form
Emmen – last 6
DLDLWL
3 Apr
@ Vitesse
3–3
D
24 Mar
vs Cambuur
2–4
L
20 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–2
D
13 Mar
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
9 Mar
@ Jong AZ
3–2
W
27 Feb
vs Willem II
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
MVV – last 6
LLDWDD
3 Apr
vs Waalwijk
1–3
L
22 Mar
vs Willem II
0–5
L
16 Mar
@ Jong AZ
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs VVV Venlo
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Dordrecht
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs De Graafschap
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and MVV.
Our pick is Emmen to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Emmen vs MVV?
On our numbers Emmen have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and MVV 12%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs MVV?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Emmen 2–0 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs MVV?
Emmen vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Willem II1
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag4