Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaalwijk to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.31
Waalwijk vs Jong AZ preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Waalwijk take on Jong AZ on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Mandemakers Stadion. Waalwijk are 12th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Jong AZ sit 19th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Waalwijk's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat VVV Venlo 3–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Jong AZ's last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to Emmen 2–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Waalwijk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Waalwijk and 1.2 for Jong AZ. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Waalwijk 64%, draw 14%, Jong AZ 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Waalwijk to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Waalwijk 2–1 Jong AZ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waalwijk64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
Draw14%fair 7.36 · @4.10
Jong AZ23%fair 4.40 · @3.65
3.40Expected goals
2.21Waalwijk xG
1.19Jong AZ xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.2 – 1.2 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Waalwijk to win✓
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Half-time result
Waalwijk ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.31
–
Form
Waalwijk – last 4
WWDL
6 Mar
@ VVV Venlo
3–0
W
27 Feb
vs FC Eindhoven
2–1
W
20 Feb
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Roda
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Jong AZ – last 4
LLDW
9 Mar
vs Emmen
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Vitesse
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and Jong AZ.
Our pick is Waalwijk to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Jong AZ 23%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is Waalwijk 2–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?
Waalwijk vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3