Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Willem II to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWillem II to win ✓56% · @1.90
Double chanceWillem II or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
FC OSS vs Willem II preview and prediction
The match
FC OSS host Willem II in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Frans Heesen Stadion.
Form guide
FC OSS's last 4: DLDL Most recently they drew with Helmond Sport 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Willem II's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Den Bosch 1–1 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Willem II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.1 for FC OSS and 1.9 for Willem II. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC OSS 21%, draw 22%, Willem II 56%.
Safer route: Willem II or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Willem II to win at 1.90 – 56% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Willem II or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC OSS 1–1 Willem II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC OSS21%fair 4.67 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.90
Willem II56%fair 1.77 · @1.90
2.94Expected goals
1.06FC OSS xG
1.87Willem II xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: FC OSS 1.1 – 1.9 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
56%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Willem II or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.55
Half-time result
Willem II ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
FC OSS – last 4
DLDL
6 Mar
@ Helmond Sport
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ VVV Venlo
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Jong AZ
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 5
DWLWD
8 Mar
vs Den Bosch
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Emmen
3–0
W
24 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Vitesse
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC OSS and Willem II.
Our pick is Willem II or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win FC OSS vs Willem II?
On our numbers FC OSS have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Willem II 56%.
How many goals will there be in FC OSS vs Willem II?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC OSS vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is FC OSS 1–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC OSS vs Willem II?
FC OSS vs Willem II (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Frans Heesen Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag1