The Eerste Divisie sees Vitesse take on Almere City FC on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at GelreDome. Vitesse are 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Almere City FC sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Vitesse's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat De Graafschap 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Almere City FC's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Cambuur 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Vitesse arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Vitesse and 1.7 for Almere City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitesse 39%, draw 21%, Almere City FC 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.38.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Vitesse 1–1 Almere City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitesse39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
Almere City FC40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
3.34Expected goals
1.66Vitesse xG
1.69Almere City FC xG
68%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.7 – 1.7 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
40%
2.51
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.01
–
Form
Vitesse – last 3
WWL
8 Mar
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Jong AZ
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Willem II
0–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Almere City FC – last 4
LWLL
3 Mar
@ Cambuur
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ FC Eindhoven
2–3
L
13 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Almere City FC.
What is the prediction for Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Almere City FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Almere City FC?
Vitesse vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3