Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDen Bosch to win ✗47% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch preview and prediction
The match
Den Bosch travel to Sportpark De Toekomst in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 13 March (20:00 WAT) to face Jong Ajax. Jong Ajax are 18th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Den Bosch sit 3rd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Ajax's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to FC Eindhoven 1–2 away. They average 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Den Bosch's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Willem II 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Jong Ajax and 1.8 for Den Bosch. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Ajax 34%, draw 19%, Den Bosch 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Jong Ajax 1–2 Den Bosch. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Ajax34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.85
Den Bosch47%fair 2.14 · @2.10
3.33Expected goals
1.52Jong Ajax xG
1.82Den Bosch xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.5 – 1.8 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Den Bosch to win✗
47%
2.14
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Den Bosch / FT Den Bosch✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Jong Ajax – last 5
LWDWL
6 Mar
@ FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
5–1
W
23 Feb
@ Emmen
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Den Bosch – last 3
DDD
8 Mar
@ Willem II
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Roda
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Jong AZ
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Den Bosch.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Den Bosch 47%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3