Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Jong Utrecht to win @ 1.85 – our chance 65% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJong Utrecht to win ✓65% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport preview and prediction
The match
Jong Utrecht host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 13 March, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch. Jong Utrecht are 20th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Helmond Sport sit 7th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Utrecht's last 4: LLLD Most recently they lost to Cambuur 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Helmond Sport's last 4: DLLW Most recently they drew with FC OSS 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Helmond Sport arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for Jong Utrecht and 1.0 for Helmond Sport. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Utrecht 65%, draw 13%, Helmond Sport 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Jong Utrecht to win at 1.85 – 65% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Jong Utrecht 2–1 Helmond Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Utrecht65%fair 1.54 · @1.85
Draw13%fair 7.44 · @3.90
Helmond Sport22%fair 4.65 · @3.65
3.10Expected goals
2.07Jong Utrecht xG
1.03Helmond Sport xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Jong Utrecht 2.1 – 1.0 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong Utrecht to win✓
65%
1.54
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Half-time result
Jong Utrecht ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong Utrecht / FT Jong Utrecht✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.06
–
Form
Jong Utrecht – last 4
LLLD
8 Mar
@ Cambuur
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Almere City FC
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ De Graafschap
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Willem II
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 4
DLLW
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong Ajax
1–5
L
20 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Utrecht and Helmond Sport.
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Jong Utrecht have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Helmond Sport 22%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Jong Utrecht 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3