Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Jong AZ to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVitesse to win ✓41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
Vitesse vs Jong AZ preview and prediction
The match
Vitesse host Jong AZ in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 27 February, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at GelreDome. Vitesse are 15th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Jong AZ sit 19th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.7 for Vitesse and 1.6 for Jong AZ. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vitesse 41%, draw 21%, Jong AZ 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Jong AZ to win at 3.10 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Vitesse 1–1 Jong AZ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vitesse41%fair 2.45 · @2.10
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
Jong AZ38%fair 2.65 · @3.10
3.32Expected goals
1.69Vitesse xG
1.62Jong AZ xG
67%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.7 – 1.6 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitesse to win✓
41%
2.45
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.84
–
Form
Vitesse – last 1
L
20 Feb
@ Willem II
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Jong AZ – last 2
DW
23 Feb
vs Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitesse and Jong AZ.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jong AZ 38%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
Our predicted score is Vitesse 1–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Vitesse vs Jong AZ?
Vitesse vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3
Cambuur2