Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJong Ajax to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport preview and prediction
The match
Helmond Sport travel to Sportpark De Toekomst in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 27 February (20:00 WAT) to face Jong Ajax. Jong Ajax are 18th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Helmond Sport sit 7th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Ajax's last 3: DWL Most recently they drew with Emmen 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Jong Ajax and 1.5 for Helmond Sport. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Ajax 40%, draw 23%, Helmond Sport 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Jong Ajax 1–1 Helmond Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Ajax40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Helmond Sport37%fair 2.69 · @2.65
3.01Expected goals
1.53Jong Ajax xG
1.47Helmond Sport xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.5 – 1.5 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong Ajax to win✓
40%
2.51
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong Ajax / FT Jong Ajax✓
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Form
Jong Ajax – last 3
DWL
23 Feb
@ Emmen
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 2
LW
20 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Helmond Sport.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Helmond Sport 37%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport?
Jong Ajax vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3
Cambuur2