Value bet: Jong PSV U21 to win @ 3.25 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDordrecht to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.21
Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht preview and prediction
The match
Dordrecht travel to De Herdgang in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 27 February (20:00 WAT) to face Jong PSV U21. Jong PSV U21 are 17th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Dordrecht sit 4th on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.5 for Jong PSV U21 and 1.9 for Dordrecht. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong PSV U21 33%, draw 19%, Dordrecht 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Jong PSV U21 to win at 3.25 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Jong PSV U21 1–1 Dordrecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong PSV U2133%fair 3.01 · @3.25
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.85
Dordrecht48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
3.42Expected goals
1.53Jong PSV U21 xG
1.88Dordrecht xG
70%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Jong PSV U21 1.5 – 1.9 Dordrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dordrecht to win✗
48%
2.10
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.85
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.74
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dordrecht / FT Dordrecht✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.21
–
Form
Jong PSV U21 – last 2
WL
20 Feb
@ Emmen
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs De Graafschap
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Dordrecht – last 2
LW
20 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Emmen
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong PSV U21 and Dordrecht.
What is the prediction for Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
On our numbers Jong PSV U21 have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Dordrecht 48%.
How many goals will there be in Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
Our predicted score is Jong PSV U21 1–1 Dordrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht?
Jong PSV U21 vs Dordrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Herdgang.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3
Cambuur2