Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Roda to win @ 2.60 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✗42% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Den Bosch vs Roda preview and prediction
The match
Roda travel to Stadion De Vliert in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 27 February (20:00 WAT) to face Den Bosch. Den Bosch are 3rd with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while Roda sit 14th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Den Bosch and 1.7 for Roda. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Den Bosch 35%, draw 22%, Roda 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Roda to win at 2.60 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Den Bosch 1–1 Roda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Den Bosch35%fair 2.84 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
Roda42%fair 2.36 · @2.60
3.29Expected goals
1.56Den Bosch xG
1.73Roda xG
65%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Den Bosch 1.6 – 1.7 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
42%
2.36
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
25%
3.94
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Form
Den Bosch – last 1
D
23 Feb
@ Jong AZ
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Roda – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Den Bosch and Roda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Den Bosch vs Roda?
On our numbers Den Bosch have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Roda 42%.
How many goals will there be in Den Bosch vs Roda?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Den Bosch vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Den Bosch 1–1 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Den Bosch vs Roda?
Den Bosch vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion De Vliert.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Willem II3
Cambuur2