Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Willem II to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultWillem II to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.18
Emmen vs Willem II preview and prediction
The match
Willem II travel to De Oude Meerdijk in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 27 February (20:00 WAT) to face Emmen.
Form guide
Emmen's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Jong Ajax 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Willem II's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to ADO Den Haag 0–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Willem II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Emmen and 1.6 for Willem II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emmen 35%, draw 21%, Willem II 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Willem II to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Emmen 1–1 Willem II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emmen35%fair 2.87 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.40
Willem II44%fair 2.26 · @2.55
3.03Expected goals
1.41Emmen xG
1.62Willem II xG
66%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Emmen 1.4 – 1.6 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
44%
2.26
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.18
–
Form
Emmen – last 3
DLL
23 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
13 Feb
@ Dordrecht
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 3
LWD
24 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Vitesse
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Jong Utrecht
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and Willem II.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Emmen vs Willem II?
On our numbers Emmen have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Willem II 44%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs Willem II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is Emmen 1–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs Willem II?
Emmen vs Willem II (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag1
Cambuur2