Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Cerezo Osaka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Cerezo Osaka to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerezo Osaka to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceCerezo Osaka or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Cerezo Osaka travel to Best Denki Stadium in the J League Cup on Wednesday 28 October (11:00 WAT) to face Mito Hollyhock.
Form guide
Mito Hollyhock's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 0–6 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with JEF United Chiba 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Cerezo Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.1 for Mito Hollyhock and 2.1 for Cerezo Osaka. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Value angle: Cerezo Osaka to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerezo Osaka or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Cerezo Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mito Hollyhock16%fair 6.25 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Cerezo Osaka58%fair 1.73 · @1.91
3.20Expected goals
1.09Mito Hollyhock xG
2.11Cerezo Osaka xG
58%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 1.1 – 2.1 Cerezo Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✓
58%
1.73
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Cerezo Osaka or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Cerezo Osaka ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✓
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Form
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
LLLWLW
25 Oct
@ FC Tokyo
0–6
L
21 Oct
@ Fagiano Okayama
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Urawa
0–1
L
14 Oct
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Fukushima United
7–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
DDLWDW
25 Oct
vs JEF United Chiba
2–2
D
21 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Kawasaki Frontale
2–4
L
14 Oct
@ Gainare Tottori
3–2
W
10 Oct
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Kagoshima United
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mito Hollyhock and Cerezo Osaka.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our pick is Cerezo Osaka or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cerezo Osaka 58%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Cerezo Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka?
Mito Hollyhock vs Cerezo Osaka (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sagan Tosu0
Kawasaki Frontale2
Yokohama F. Marinos4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Nagoya Grampus1
Urawa1