Value bet: Urawa to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUrawa to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.55
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.43
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗6% · fair 16.38
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa preview and prediction
The match
The J League Cup sees Nagoya Grampus take on Urawa on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are 1st with 15 points from 6 games, while Urawa sit 1st on 8 points.
Form guide
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Urawa's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat V-varen Nagasaki 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Urawa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.8 goals: 2.2 for Nagoya Grampus and 2.5 for Urawa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 85% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nagoya Grampus 34%, draw 22%, Urawa 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Urawa to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.43, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Urawa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nagoya Grampus34%fair 2.93 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
Urawa44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
4.75Expected goals
2.24Nagoya Grampus xG
2.51Urawa xG
70%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–26%
2–36%
2–15%
1–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: Nagoya Grampus 2.2 – 2.5 Urawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Urawa to win✗
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.43
1.55 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Urawa ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Urawa / FT Urawa✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
6%
16.38
–
Form
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
DDWDWW
25 Oct
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Cerezo Osaka
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–1
W
14 Oct
vs Fagiano Okayama
3–3
D
11 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Kitakyushu
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Urawa – last 6
WWWWLW
25 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
21 Oct
vs JEF United Chiba
3–2
W
17 Oct
@ Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
14 Oct
@ Yokohama FC
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ FC Tokyo
0–3
L
7 Oct
vs Omiya Ardija
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nagoya Grampus and Urawa.
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
On our numbers Nagoya Grampus have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Urawa 44%.
How many goals will there be in Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
Our predicted score is Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Urawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa?
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Toyota Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mito Hollyhock1
Cerezo Osaka3
Sagan Tosu0
Yokohama F. Marinos4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3