J League Cup · Japan · Ekimae Real Estate Stadium
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction & analysis
Kawasaki Frontale to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sagan Tosu 0.9 – 1.9 Kawasaki Frontale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Kawasaki Frontale shade it despite being away from home – 59% to win, against 18% for Sagan Tosu.
Sagan Tosu have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Kawasaki Frontale have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.9 for Sagan Tosu, 1.9 for Kawasaki Frontale). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (11%), 0–2 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Kawasaki Frontale to win at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.70.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kawasaki Frontale to win ✓ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | Kawasaki Frontale or draw ✓ | 82% | 1.21 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | – |
| Half-time result | Kawasaki Frontale ahead at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kawasaki Frontale / FT Kawasaki Frontale ✗ | 37% | 2.68 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 11% | 8.80 | – |
Form
Sagan Tosu – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Vanraure Hachinohe | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | @ Albirex Niigata | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Omiya Ardija | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Oct | vs Avispa Fukuoka | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | vs Fujieda MYFC | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Blaublitz Akita | 0–1 | L |
Kawasaki Frontale – last 6
| 25 Oct | vs Fagiano Okayama | 2–1 | W |
| 21 Oct | vs Vissel Kobe | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Cerezo Osaka | 4–2 | W |
| 14 Oct | @ Jubilo Iwata | 4–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | vs Nagoya Grampus | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Oct | vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sagan Tosu and Kawasaki Frontale.
J League Cup table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 6 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 |  Consadole Sapporo | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 3 |  Jubilo Iwata | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Sagan Tosu | 6 | -11 | 4 |
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Urawa1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Our pick is Kawasaki Frontale to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?
On our numbers Sagan Tosu have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kawasaki Frontale 59%.
How many goals will there be in Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Sagan Tosu vs Kawasaki Frontale (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.