Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima travel to Nissan Stadium in the J League Cup on Wednesday 28 October (11:00 WAT) to face Yokohama F. Marinos. Yokohama F. Marinos are 1st with 15 points from 6 games, while Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th on 9 points.
Form guide
Yokohama F. Marinos's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Nagoya Grampus 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Shimizu S-pulse 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 1.6 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yokohama F. Marinos15%fair 6.60 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.40
Sanfrecce Hiroshima63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
2.25Expected goals
0.62Yokohama F. Marinos xG
1.63Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 0.6 – 1.6 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win✗
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Yokohama F. Marinos – last 6
DDDWDW
25 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Tokyo Verdy
2–2
D
17 Oct
@ JEF United Chiba
0–0
D
14 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Cerezo Osaka
0–0
D
7 Oct
vs Kyoto Sangyo University
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6
WLWWWW
24 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
4–0
W
21 Oct
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–4
L
17 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
3–0
W
14 Oct
@ Matsumoto Yamaga
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Tokyo Verdy
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Iwaki
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yokohama F. Marinos and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 63%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J League Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Nissan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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