Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCherno More Varna to win ✓72% · @1.30
Double chanceCherno More Varna or draw ✓92% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.87
Marek vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Marek take on Cherno More Varna on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Marek's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Beroe 3–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cherno More Varna's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Levski Sofia 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Marek arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.1 for Marek and 2.9 for Cherno More Varna. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marek 8%, draw 21%, Cherno More Varna 72%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marek 1–2 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marek8%fair 13.28 · @9.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.40
Cherno More Varna72%fair 1.40 · @1.30
4.00Expected goals
1.08Marek xG
2.92Cherno More Varna xG
61%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
0–28%
0–38%
1–46%
1–16%
From our goals model: Marek 1.1 – 2.9 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cherno More Varna to win✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Double chance
Cherno More Varna or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Cherno More Varna ahead at half-time✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cherno More Varna / FT Cherno More Varna✓
52%
1.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.87
–
Form
Marek – last 6
WWDLWL
10 Oct
vs Beroe
3–2
W
4 Oct
@ Chavdar Troyan
4–0
W
26 Sep
@ Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0–0
D
20 Sep
vs Rilski Sportist
1–3
L
13 Sep
vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Yantra 2019
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cherno More Varna – last 6
LLDDLL
11 Oct
vs Levski Sofia
0–2
L
4 Oct
@ Ludogorets
0–5
L
19 Sep
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Lokomotiv Sofia
2–2
D
6 Sep
@ Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ CSKA Sofia
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marek and Cherno More Varna.
What is the prediction for Marek vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Marek vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Marek have a 8% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cherno More Varna 72%.
How many goals will there be in Marek vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marek vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Marek 1–2 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Marek vs Cherno More Varna?
Marek vs Cherno More Varna (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vihren1
Lokomotiv Sofia2
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1
Septemvri Sofia1
Rilski Sportist2
Dunav Ruse3
Beroe0
Ludogorets3