Cup · Bulgaria
Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse prediction & analysis
Dunav Ruse to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Rilski Sportist 1.3 – 2.7 Dunav Ruse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Dunav Ruse travel as clear favourites – 65% to win, against 14% for Rilski Sportist.
Rilski Sportist have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.5 per game. Dunav Ruse have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. Rilski Sportist come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.0 goals (1.3 for Rilski Sportist, 2.7 for Dunav Ruse). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (9%), 1–3 (8%), 0–2 (7%).
Our pick is Dunav Ruse to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is better than our fair price of 1.54, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Dunav Ruse to win ✓ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Double chance | Dunav Ruse or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.75 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 76% | 1.31 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Half-time result | Dunav Ruse ahead at half-time ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Dunav Ruse / FT Dunav Ruse ✓ | 45% | 2.22 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.52 | – |
Form
Rilski Sportist – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Zagorets | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | vs Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Marek | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | vs Yantra 2019 | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Nesebar | 1–2 | L |
Dunav Ruse – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Septemvri Sofia | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Botev Vratsa | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | @ CSKA 1948 | 1–2 | L |
| 7 Sep | vs Slavia Sofia | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | vs Lokomotiv Sofia | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Cherno More Varna | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rilski Sportist and Dunav Ruse.
More Cup predictions
League hub
Vihren1
Lokomotiv Sofia2
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1
Septemvri Sofia1
Marek0
Cherno More Varna3
Beroe0
Ludogorets3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse?
Our pick is Dunav Ruse to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse?
On our numbers Rilski Sportist have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dunav Ruse 65%.
How many goals will there be in Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse?
Rilski Sportist vs Dunav Ruse (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.