Cup · Bulgaria
Beroe vs Ludogorets prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.92 · bookmaker 2.20 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Beroe 0.7 – 2.3 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ludogorets travel as clear favourites – 73% to win, against 7% for Beroe.
Beroe have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.7 per game. Ludogorets have 14 points from their last 6 (4W 2D 0L), averaging 2.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. Ludogorets come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (0.7 for Beroe, 2.3 for Ludogorets). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (14%), 0–1 (12%), 0–3 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Beroe have won 0, Ludogorets have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 52% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.20 is better than our fair price of 1.92, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ludogorets to win ✓ | 73% | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Double chance | Ludogorets or draw ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 2.20 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Ludogorets ahead at half-time ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 14% | 7.36 | – |
Form
Beroe – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Marek | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | @ FK Minyor Pernik | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Yantra 2019 | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Nesebar | 3–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Sportist Svoge | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Dobrudzha | 2–2 | D |
Ludogorets – last 6
| 12 Oct | vs Arda Kardzhali | 5–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | vs Cherno More Varna | 5–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Septemvri Sofia | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Lokomotiv Sofia | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ Spartak Varna | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Slavia Sofia | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 15 Feb 2026 | Ludogorets v Beroe | 2–1 |
More Cup predictions
League hub
Vihren1
Lokomotiv Sofia2
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa1
Septemvri Sofia1
Marek0
Cherno More Varna3
Rilski Sportist2
Dunav Ruse3Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Beroe vs Ludogorets?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win Beroe vs Ludogorets?
On our numbers Beroe have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ludogorets 73%.
How many goals will there be in Beroe vs Ludogorets?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Beroe vs Ludogorets?
Beroe vs Ludogorets (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.