Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSeptemvri Sofia to win ✗64% · @1.73
Double chanceSeptemvri Sofia or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia preview and prediction
The match
Septemvri Sofia travel to face Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa in the Cup on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT).
Form guide
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Rilski Sportist 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Septemvri Sofia's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Dunav Ruse 2–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and 2.6 for Septemvri Sofia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 16%, draw 20%, Septemvri Sofia 64%.
Safer route: Septemvri Sofia or draw (84%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1–2 Septemvri Sofia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa16%fair 6.07 · @4.40
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.30
Septemvri Sofia64%fair 1.57 · @1.73
4.00Expected goals
1.35Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa xG
2.65Septemvri Sofia xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–36%
From our goals model: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1.4 – 2.6 Septemvri Sofia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Septemvri Sofia to win✗
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Septemvri Sofia or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Septemvri Sofia ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Septemvri Sofia / FT Septemvri Sofia✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa – last 6
DWDWDD
10 Oct
@ Rilski Sportist
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Natsional Sofia
3–1
W
26 Sep
vs Marek
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Yantra 2019
1–0
W
15 Sep
vs Nesebar
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Sportist Svoge
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Septemvri Sofia – last 6
LLLLDW
11 Oct
vs Dunav Ruse
2–3
L
19 Sep
vs Botev Plovdiv
0–3
L
14 Sep
@ Ludogorets
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Botev Vratsa
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Slavia Sofia
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs CSKA 1948
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Septemvri Sofia.
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia?
On our numbers Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Septemvri Sofia 64%.
How many goals will there be in Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our predicted score is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 1–2 Septemvri Sofia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Septemvri Sofia (Cup) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vihren1
Lokomotiv Sofia2
Marek0
Cherno More Varna3
Rilski Sportist2
Dunav Ruse3
Beroe0
Ludogorets3