Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Spennymoor Town vs Chester preview and prediction
The match
The FA Cup sees Spennymoor Town take on Chester on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Spennymoor Town's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with Southport 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Chester's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Worksop Town 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Spennymoor Town and 1.6 for Chester. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spennymoor Town 36%, draw 24%, Chester 40%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Spennymoor Town 1–2 Chester. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spennymoor Town36%fair 2.80 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
Chester40%fair 2.49 · @2.35
3.14Expected goals
1.52Spennymoor Town xG
1.62Chester xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–27%
From our goals model: Spennymoor Town 1.5 – 1.6 Chester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chester to win✗
40%
2.49
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chester / FT Chester✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Spennymoor Town – last 6
DWDLLD
26 Sep
@ Southport
2–2
D
19 Sep
@ AFC Emley
4–0
W
12 Sep
vs Macclesfield
1–1
D
8 Sep
vs Spalding United
1–3
L
5 Sep
@ Hereford
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Hednesford Town
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chester – last 6
WWLLDL
26 Sep
vs Worksop Town
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Lower Breck
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Buxton
1–3
L
8 Sep
vs Merthyr Town
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Hebburn Town
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Morecambe
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spennymoor Town and Chester.
What is the prediction for Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
On our numbers Spennymoor Town have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chester 40%.
How many goals will there be in Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
Our predicted score is Spennymoor Town 1–2 Chester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Spennymoor Town vs Chester?
Spennymoor Town vs Chester (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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